Starting in first gear

Good morning. In 1966, Ford spent a small fortune to beat Ferrari at Le Mans and finished first, second, and third. Superformance has been building licensed copies of that car in South Africa since the mid-2000s, and clean ones usually trade above $200,000. This afternoon, one with roughly twice the original's power closes, and it's bidding at $85,000.

A big part of the low price is paperwork: the car carries an Indiana rebuilt-vehicle title brand, meaning it was once declared salvage. That gives us a reason to look at what a branded title really costs, how the sequential gearbox inside the car works, and a quarter at GM where the company made more money and still got punished for it.

In today's newsletter, we'll get into:

  • Auction Desk: An 850-horsepower GT40 Mk II with a branded title

  • One Big Story: GM's strong quarter and the steel bill behind the selloff

  • Engineer's Corner: How a sequential gearbox shifts without synchros

  • Garage Economics: What a rebuilt title actually costs, and who pays it

Let’s roll.

THE AUCTION DESK

An 850-hp GT40 with a rebuilt title is trying to find a new owner today

Superformance builds the closest thing to a new GT40 you can buy, and this 2009 Mk II with 850 wheel horsepower is currently bidding at $85,000.

The cars are built in Gqeberha, South Africa, under license from Safir GT40 Spares, which holds the GT40 name. Each car gets an official GT40P continuation chassis number (this one is P/2176), and US cars are sold as rolling chassis with the engine and transaxle installed after purchase. That's how you end up with a drivetrain like this one:

  • Engine: Keith Craft-built 427ci Ford V8 with a Dallas Performance twin-turbo system, air-to-water intercooler, and AEM engine management

  • Output: 850 hp and 746 lb-ft at the rear wheels on a chassis dyno

  • Gearbox: six-speed sequential transaxle with electronic shifting and a KCM twin-disc clutch

  • Chassis: Wilwood four-wheel discs, adjustable remote-reservoir shocks, front lift, power steering, air conditioning

  • Odometer: 91 miles shown on a Holley digital dash, so read that as miles on the display, not miles on the car

Then there is the title. Indiana has branded it REBUILT VEHICLE, which under state law means it was once declared salvage, was repaired, and passed an inspection of its major parts. The brand isn't new. The car crossed a no-reserve sale in Scottsdale in early 2023 already described as prior salvage, and the listing doesn't say what the original damage was. Since the current owner bought it that year, the doors were repaired, the radiator and battery replaced, and earlier green sections painted over in silver and black.

As an engineer, the line I'd read twice is the horsepower. Earlier advertising for this chassis claimed 1,200 hp. The current dyno sheet says 850 at the wheels. A crank figure on aggressive boost can sit well above a wheel figure on a safer tune, since 10 to 15 percent disappears through the transaxle and tires. The dyno sheet is the only number with a measurement behind it, and I'd want to know what boost it was made on. One more detail for purists: the 1966 cars used the 427 FE big-block, while earlier descriptions of this car call its engine a 427 small-block, a different engine family that happens to share the displacement.

It closes this afternoon at 1:35 PM ET.

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My call: This is a car for someone who wants the fastest GT40 shape on the road and plans to keep it. I think bidding finishes between $160,000 and $175,000. With a dealer consignment and a reserve probably set with clean-title prices in mind, reserve not met is a real possibility.

ONE BIG STORY

GM just had its best quarter in years. Its stock fell 5% anyway.

General Motors reported third-quarter results yesterday that beat almost every estimate. Revenue came in at $50.0 billion, up 2.9 percent. Adjusted operating profit rose 22 percent to $4.1 billion, an 8.2 percent margin. Adjusted earnings per share hit $3.70 against a $3.63 consensus. North America did the heavy lifting with an 8.7 percent margin, up 2.5 points, on a sales mix tilted toward full-size pickups.

GM also approved a $20 billion buyback and raised its cash flow forecast. The stock fell about 5 percent by mid-morning.

The reason sits in the cost line. GM's CFO told analysts that steel, aluminum, logistics, and chip costs rose sharply over the last two months, and GM now expects about $2 billion of commodity inflation this year, the high end of its earlier forecast. If prices stay where they are, the company says 2027 could take a similar hit. For comparison, GM expects its gross tariff bill for 2026 to land at the low end of $2.5 billion to $3.5 billion. The materials bill has quietly grown to the same order of magnitude as the trade fight everyone has been watching.

Why it matters:

  • Guidance narrowed, and the middle moved down. Full-year adjusted EPS is now $12.75 to $13.75. The $13.25 midpoint sits below the $13.41 Wall Street expected.

  • Fewer new trucks this quarter. GM expects lower fourth-quarter pickup deliveries while plants switch to the redesigned Silverado and Sierra, the trucks getting the new small-block V8s we covered in September.

  • Share is slipping. GM's US share fell to 16.1 percent from 16.8 percent a year ago, on 671,000 sales versus 710,000.

  • The hybrid gap. Hybrids are now more than 15 percent of US sales, and GM doesn't sell one. Mary Barra said hybrids are coming and gave no timeline.

  • Outside North America, almost nothing. GM International earned $28 million, down from $226 million. China equity income fell to $32 million from $80 million.

Tesla reports after the close tonight, and Stellantis follows on October 28. Both will face the same steel and aluminum prices.

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The takeaway: GM's trucks are earning more than ever, but the company is spending more to build them and selling fewer of everything else. Investors marked down next year, not last quarter.

ENGINEER’S CORNER

The GT40 above sends 850 wheel horsepower through a six-speed sequential transaxle. It shifts on a different principle than the manual in your daily driver, which explains why race cars use one and almost no road car does.

Start with your road car. Every gear in a conventional manual is always in mesh and spinning freely on its shaft. To select one, a sliding sleeve has to lock that gear to the shaft. Before it can, a synchronizer does the polite part of the job: a brass or carbon blocker ring presses against a cone on the gear, and friction brings the gear up or down to shaft speed. Until the speeds match, the blocker ring physically stops the sleeve from engaging. That friction step takes time, wears the rings, and is why a hurried shift grinds.

A sequential deletes the synchros. The gears are locked by dog rings: a handful of large, chunky teeth that drop into wide windows on the side of the gear. There is no speed matching. The dogs slam in. Fewer dogs means wider gaps and a better chance of catching engagement on a fast shift, at the cost of noise and a harsher clunk. The drive faces of the dogs are back-cut, angled so that torque pulls them deeper into engagement instead of pushing them out, which keeps the box from jumping out of gear under 746 lb-ft. Deleting the synchro hardware also frees space for wider, stronger gears.

The drum does the thinking. Instead of a shift gate, a sequential uses a rotating barrel with grooves machined into its surface. Each selector fork has a follower riding in one groove. Pull the lever (or, in this car, trigger the electric actuator) and a ratchet turns the drum exactly one step. The grooves move the right fork out and the next fork in. A spring-loaded detent drops into a notch to index each position. Because the groove pattern fixes the order, you can only go up or down one gear at a time. You cannot skip gears, and you cannot miss-shift from fourth into first.

The engine helps. On an upshift, the ECU briefly cuts ignition to unload the dogs so they slide out, then restores power once the next gear is engaged. Modern systems hold that cut until the box confirms the gear, not for a fixed time. On downshifts, the ECU blips the throttle to raise revs. Pneumatic paddle systems on race cars routinely complete clutchless shifts in 50 to 60 milliseconds.

Transaxle means everything is in one case. In a mid-engine car, the gearbox and differential share one housing bolted behind the engine. The original 1966 Mk II used a Kar Kraft-built four-speed, often called the T-44, because the 427's torque was more than the ZF five-speed in earlier GT40s was built for.

The twin-disc clutch is a packaging decision. Two friction discs give the same clamping capacity as one much larger disc. A smaller diameter means less rotating inertia, so the engine revs up and down faster between shifts. One common 9.7-inch twin-disc unit is rated around 850 lb-ft with organic linings.

So why not every car? Dog boxes clunk at parking-lot speeds, dislike gentle driving, and need their dogs inspected on a schedule measured in race hours. Road cars that tried automated single-clutch boxes, like the Lamborghini Aventador's seven-speed, could shift in about 50 milliseconds but lurched doing it. Dual-clutch transmissions won because they keep drive going through the shift.

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The takeaway: A synchromesh manual matches gear speeds with friction before it engages. A sequential skips that step, engages with dogs, and uses the engine's ignition to make the shift possible. That trade gives speed and strength in exchange for refinement.

GARAGE ECONOMICS

What a rebuilt title actually costs, and who pays it

The chain usually starts with an insurance claim. When repair costs pass a set share of a car's value, the insurer declares it a total loss, pays the owner, and the state issues a salvage title. That threshold varies by state, and many sit in the 70 to 80 percent range. Someone then buys the car, fixes it, and has it inspected. In Indiana, that means a state police check that verifies the major parts were legally sourced, plus a restorer's affidavit. Pass, and the car gets a REBUILT VEHICLE brand. That brand follows the car into every state it's ever registered in.

Three costs come with it:

  • Resale. Rebuilt titles typically knock 20 to 40 percent off clean-title value. That percentage hits harder as the car gets more expensive. On a $15,000 commuter, it's a few thousand dollars. On a $240,000 GT40, it could be well over 30%.

  • Insurance. Many carriers will only write liability on a rebuilt title, and those that offer full coverage can charge up to 20 percent more. On a car you'd want insured at agreed value, that's the call to make before you bid.

  • Financing. Many lenders won't touch a branded title, and the ones that will charge more. On an $85,000-plus car, that narrows the buyer pool mostly to cash buyers.

Now apply it. If clean-title Superformance GT40s trade between $200,000 and $280,000, a standard 20 to 40 percent rebuilt discount puts this car somewhere between $120,000 and $224,000. It's bidding at $85,000, well below even the bottom of that range. The rest of the gap probably comes from the twin-turbo build, which thins out buyers who want a period-correct car, plus a damage history the listing doesn't explain.

One caveat for anyone tempted. On a hand-built fiberglass car, labor is high and panels are scarce, so the total-loss threshold can trip on damage that would be a routine repair on a mass-produced car. A brand here doesn't automatically mean structural trauma, but it puts most of the value story in the inspection report and repair records. Without them, price the car as if the worst happened.

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The takeaway: A rebuilt title works like a resale discount: you collect it when you buy and give it back when you sell. If you plan to keep the car, can insure it, and can pay cash, the discount can work in your favor. If any of those three is uncertain, the discount understates the cost.

🏁 THE COOL-DOWN LAP

  • AMB 001 result. The 0-mile Aston Martin AMB 001, number 32 of 100, sold Monday for $137,000 at no reserve.

  • Brampton strike vote. Unifor's Stellantis members voted 97.3 percent to authorize a strike over the Brampton plant, which has been idle since December 2023 while Stellantis negotiates a sale to armored-vehicle maker Roshel. No strike has been called yet. Next date to watch is January 1, 2027, the start date for the threatened 50 percent US tariff on Canadian vehicles and parts.

  • Tesla reports tonight. Q3 results come after the close. Tesla says it now has more than 300 Cybercabs running in Austin, and its answers to NHTSA's 21 questions on how the Cybercab was certified are due October 30.

  • A supercharged Hemi Charger, reportedly. An internal Stellantis document reported last week lists a supercharged 6.2-liter Hemi with an eight-speed automatic and rear-wheel drive for the 2028 Charger, in two-door and four-door form. Dodge hasn't confirmed it.

  • F1 goes to Austin. Kimi Antonelli arrives at Sunday's US Grand Prix leading Mercedes teammate George Russell 340 to 238 with six races left.

  • Southbound in a Panamera. I'm driving down to Miami this morning to deliver my sister's new Porsche Panamera, which I found for her at Porsche Latham (shoutout to Dean) in upstate New York. Payment terms were an all-expenses-paid road trip courtesy of hers truly, and a leisurely Four Seasons weekend stay. Life is a beach, I'm just playing in the sand.

That's a wrap. See you Friday — same inbox, lower gear.

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Marsel

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